Very Preliminary Comments Most Welcome Currency Crises and Capital Controls: A Selective Survey

نویسنده

  • Sweta C. Saxena
چکیده

This survey discusses theoretical models of speculative attack and currency crises, and reviews the empirical evidence. The paper outlines the correspondence of the models to different cases of crisis (e.g. Latin American crises, the ERM breakdown, and the recent Asian crisis), and points to gaps in the theoretical literature for explaining the Asian crisis. The large economic costs resulting from the severe depreciation of Asian currencies and general problems with macroeconomic management in the presence of large capital flows has recently led to proposals for limiting capital flows. The paper reviews the arguments and models for and against capital controls. JEL Classification: F31, F47

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Modelliing of Earlly Warniing Indiicators of Currency Crisis: Emphasizing the Evaluation of the Relationship Between Currency Crisis and Capital Control Index

Predicting currency fluctuations and crises is an important step in the foreign exchange policy of countries. Given that the purpose of early warning systems or patterns is to anticipate crises, their use is essential to prevent economic crises, including currency crises. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to model and rank the early warning factors of currency crisis by Bayesian averaging...

متن کامل

The Illusive Quest: Do International Capital Controls Contribute to Currency Stability?

Available online 23 July 2010 We investigate the effectiveness of capital controls in insulating economies from currency crises, focusing in particular on both direct and indirect effects of capital controls and how these relationships may have changed over time in response to global financial liberalization and the greater mobility of international capital. We predict the likelihood of currenc...

متن کامل

How do Sudden Stops of Capital Flows Affect Currency Crises in Asia?

Sudden stops can be characterized by sharp reversals in capital inflows, large declines in output, and steep collapses in real asset prices (Mendoza and Smith, 2009). In almost all recent crises, capital account reversals amounting to more than 10% of an afflicted country’s GDP have occurred (Calvo and Reinhart, 1999 and Nabli, 1999). More specifically, reversals in capital flows to emergin...

متن کامل

EPRU Working Paper Series

Are countries with unregulated capital flows more vulnerable to currency crises? Efforts to answer this question properly must control for “self selection” bias since countries with liberalized capital accounts may also have more sound economic policies and institutions that make them less likely to experience crises. We employ a matching and propensity score methodology to address this issue i...

متن کامل

Determinants of Bonanza Episodes and Related Effects on Financial Crises in Emerging Market Countries

Although capital inflows affect positively economies in long-run, it is possible to generate somehow destructive effects if there is no any control on financial markets. This study tries to explore main determinants of large capital inflows episodes to emerging markets. It is also investigated whether the large capital inflows episodes lead to financial crises in forms of sudden stop phenomenon...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1999